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Research ArticleHead and Neck Imaging
Open Access

Iodine Maps from Dual-Energy CT to Predict Extrathyroidal Extension and Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Cancer Based on a Radiomics Approach

X.-Q. Xu, Y. Zhou, G.-Y. Su, X.-W. Tao, Y.-Q. Ge, Y. Si, M.-P. Shen and F.-Y. Wu
American Journal of Neuroradiology April 2022, DOI: https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A7484
X.-Q. Xu
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (X.-Q.X., Y.Z., G.-Y.S., F.-Y.W.)
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Y. Zhou
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (X.-Q.X., Y.Z., G.-Y.S., F.-Y.W.)
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  • ORCID record for Y. Zhou
G.-Y. Su
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (X.-Q.X., Y.Z., G.-Y.S., F.-Y.W.)
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X.-W. Tao
cSiemens Healthineers (X.-W.T., Y.-Q.G.), Shanghai, China
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Y.-Q. Ge
cSiemens Healthineers (X.-W.T., Y.-Q.G.), Shanghai, China
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Y. Si
bThyroid Surgery (Y.S., M.-P.S.), The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
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M.-P. Shen
bThyroid Surgery (Y.S., M.-P.S.), The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
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F.-Y. Wu
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (X.-Q.X., Y.Z., G.-Y.S., F.-Y.W.)
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Article Figures & Data

Figures

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  • FIG 1.
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    FIG 1.

    Our study flow chart and radiomics workflow.

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    FIG 2.

    Kaplan-Meier cumulative event curve for PTC recurrence stratified by the nomogram-predicted ETE risk classification (log-rank statistic, P < . 001).

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Results of multivariate logistic analysis for constructed clinical and radiomics models

    ModelsβOdds Ratio (95% CI)P ValueVIF
    Clinical model
     Size0.041.03 (0.98–1.09).0091.61
     Capsule contact1.533.55 (2.32–5.44)<.0011.68
    Radiomics model 1
     Size0.041.04 (0.98–1.10).0411.57
     Capsule contact1.293.61 (2.34–5.59)<.0011.56
     Noncontrast rad-score_RF–0.510.60 (0.44–0.83).0021.00
    Radiomics model 2
     Size0.041.04 (0.98–1.09).0451.57
     Capsule contact1.283.58 (2.33–5.50).0011.56
     Noncontrast rad-score_LASSO–0.430.65 (0.41–1.04).0071.01
    Radiomics model 3
     Capsule contact1.263.51 (2.41–5.13)<.0011.62
     Mixed rad-score_RF2.8617.44 (1.71–177.60)<.0011.30
    Radiomics model 4
     Size0.021.02 (0.97–1.08).0361.83
     Capsule contact1.243.45 (2.24–5.33)<.0011.47
     Mixed rad-score_LASSO1.4914.44 (1.05–120.93)<.0011.51
    Radiomics model 5
     Size0.011.00 (0.95–1.06).0341.78
     Capsule contact1.113.03 (1.95–4.71)<.0011.69
     Iodine rad-score_RF3.6337.64 (6.76–209.59)<.0011.34
    Radiomics model 6
     Size0.010.99 (0.94–1.05).0481.74
     Capsule contact1.092.98 (1.92–4.64)<.0011.62
     Iodine rad-score_LASSO2.8635.32 (2.29–289.19)<.0011.37
    • Note:—VIF indicates variance inflation factor.

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    Table 2:

    Prediction efficiency comparisons of 6 radiomics models and the clinical model

    Radiomics vs Clinical Models (AUC)Training Set (317)P ValueValidation Set (135)P Value
    Radiomics model 1 vs clinical model0.73 vs 0.72.9200.73 vs 0.72.838
    Radiomics model 2 vs clinical model0.73 vs 0.72.8770.73 vs 0.72.777
    Radiomics model 3 vs clinical model0.76 vs 0.72.0220.76 vs 0.72.132
    Radiomics model 4 vs clinical model0.75 vs 0.72.0640.74 vs 0.72.179
    Radiomics model 5 vs clinical model0.78 vs 0.72<.0010.84 vs 0.72<.001
    Radiomics model 6 vs clinical model0.77 vs 0.72<.0010.80 vs 0.72.032
    • View popup
    Table 3:

    Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis for risk factors associated with recurrence

    VariableUnivariable AnalysisMultivariable Analysis
    Hazard Ratio (95% CI)P ValueHazard Ratio (95% CI)P Value
    Size1.07 (1.03–1.12).011NANA
    Capsule contact1.56 (1.09–2.24).015NANA
    Nomogram-predicted ETE1.75 (1.14–2.69).0011.07 (1.02–1.12).011
    • Note:—NA indicates not applicable.

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X.-Q. Xu, Y. Zhou, G.-Y. Su, X.-W. Tao, Y.-Q. Ge, Y. Si, M.-P. Shen, F.-Y. Wu
Iodine Maps from Dual-Energy CT to Predict Extrathyroidal Extension and Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Cancer Based on a Radiomics Approach
American Journal of Neuroradiology Apr 2022, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A7484

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Iodine Maps from Dual-Energy CT to Predict Extrathyroidal Extension and Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Cancer Based on a Radiomics Approach
X.-Q. Xu, Y. Zhou, G.-Y. Su, X.-W. Tao, Y.-Q. Ge, Y. Si, M.-P. Shen, F.-Y. Wu
American Journal of Neuroradiology Apr 2022, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A7484
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  • Radiomics analysis of dual-layer spectral-detector CT-derived iodine maps for predicting tumor deposits in colorectal cancer
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  • Ultrasound-based nomogram to predict the recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma using machine learning
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  • Analysis of preoperative computed tomography radiomics and clinical factors for predicting postsurgical recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma
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