The Predictive Value of 3D Time-of-Flight MR Angiography in Assessment of Brain Arteriovenous Malformation Obliteration after Radiosurgery ========================================================================================================================================== * D.R. Buis * J.C.J. Bot * F. Barkhof * D.L. Knol * F.J. Lagerwaard * B.J. Slotman * W.P. Vandertop * R. van den Berg ## Abstract **BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:** The purpose of radiosurgery of bAVMs is complete angiographic obliteration of its nidus. We assessed the diagnostic accuracy of 1.5T T2-weighted MR imaging and TOF-MRA images for detecting nidus obliteration after radiosurgery. **MATERIALS AND METHODS:** The pre- and postradiosurgery MR images and DSA images from 120 patients who were radiosurgically treated for a bAVM were re-evaluated by 2 observers for patency of the nidus (preradiosurgery) and obliteration (postradiosurgery: final follow-up MR imaging), by using a 3-point scale of confidence. Consensus reading of the DSA after radiosurgery was considered the criterion standard for obliteration. Sensitivity, specificity, PPVs, and NPVs, and overall diagnostic performance by using ROC were determined. **RESULTS:** Mean bAVM volume during radiosurgery was 3.4 mL (95% CI, 2.6–4.3 mL). Sixty-six patients (55%) had undergone previous endovascular embolization. The mean intervals between radiosurgery and follow-up MR imaging and for DSA, respectively, were 35.6 months (95% CI, 32.3–38.9 months) and 42.1 months (95% CI, 40.3–44.0 months). With ROC, an area under curve of 0.81–0.83 was found. PPVs and NPVs of final follow-up MR imaging for definitive obliteration varied between 0.85 and 0.95 and 0.55 and 0.62. An average false-positive rate, meaning overestimation of nidus obliteration, of 0.08 and an average false-negative rate, meaning underestimation of nidus obliteration of 0.48, were found. **CONCLUSIONS:** MRA is insufficient to diagnose obliteration in the follow-up of bAVMs after radiosurgery. A remaining nidus diameter <10 mm seems to be the major limiting factor for reliable assessment of obliteration. We highly recommend follow-up DSA for definitive diagnosis of complete obliteration. ## ABBREVIATIONS: bAVM : brain arteriovenous malformation CI : confidence interval 4D rCE-MRA : 4D radial-acquisition contrast-enhanced MRA DO : definitive obliteration DSA2C : DSA uniform reference standard for obliteration NPV : negative predictive value PO : probable obliteration PPV : positive predictive value ROC : receiver operating characteristic analysis TOF-MRA : time-of-flight MRA Radiosurgery is an established technique for the treatment of bAVMs. Its purpose is to completely obliterate the nidus without causing new neurologic damage.1 Its efficacy is high, and obliteration may be reached in 81% after 4 years and in 91% after 6 years.2 The established method to evaluate nidus obliteration is DSA. Although the neurologic risk of DSA is low with 0.09%–0.8% permanent neurologic deficits,3(#ref-4)(#ref-5)(#ref-6)(#ref-7)–8 silent embolisms were demonstrated after DSA on diffusion-weighted MR imaging in ≤23% of all cases.9 Other risks include bleeding, nephrotoxicity, and allergies.7,10,11 Moreover, patients regard DSA as an unpleasant examination due to its invasiveness, pain, and postprocedural bed rest.12 Finally DSA carries inherent ionizing radiation risks, especially in children,13(#ref-14)–15 and it is a costly investigation because it is labor-intensive and requires postprocedural hospitalization of the patient.16 High-contrast CTA has a proven ability to identify remnant bAVMs after radiosurgery,17 but similar to DSA, CTA carries risks of ionizing radiation and administration of contrast. Therefore, MR imaging evaluation may be a sensitive and noninvasive substitute.18(#ref-19)(#ref-20)–21 The risk of complications during an MR imaging examination of the brain is considerably lower, with no harmful effects reported in 1023 patients.22 In many institutions, MR imaging alone or in combination with MRA is used for radiologic follow-up; and in case of suspected obliteration or after a maximum follow-up time, patients are referred for DSA.23(#ref-24)(#ref-25)(#ref-26)–27 We performed a retrospective analysis of 1.5T T2-weighted MR imaging and TOF-MRA to assess their ability to correctly predict nidus obliteration after radiosurgery, by using DSA as the criterion standard. ## Materials and Methods Between January 1998 and June 2007, 251 patients underwent radiosurgery for a bAVM at the VU University Medical Center. Our radiosurgical treatment protocol has been described before.27 All patients were examined with MR imaging of the brain by using a 1.5T whole-body scanner, with a standard polarized head coil (Magnetom Vision, Magnetom Sonata; Siemens, Erlangen, Germany). The imaging protocol included T2-weighted MR imaging with a section thickness of 3 mm (TR, 3000 ms; TE, 20 ms) and TOF-MRA images (TR, 39 ms; TE, 6.5 ms; flip-angle, 20°) with a section thickness of 1 mm and an in-plane resolution of 0.4 mm. At the time of the study, the software for dynamic sequences was not available; therefore, no contrast enhancement was used. On the day of radiosurgery, a stereotactic base ring (Brainlab, Feldkirchen, Germany) was attached to the patient's head under local anesthesia followed by a stereotactic DSA with a frame rate of 2–6 per second−1. CTA with 2-mm section-thickness reconstructions with the stereotactic frame in place was performed. The DSA images were coregistered with the CT images by using the stereotactic localizer box. Finally, the MR imaging studies were digitally fused with the CT study by using the automatic image-fusion software of the radiosurgery planning system (BrainScan, Version 5.1l Brainlab). Follow-up included biennial MR imaging of the brain by using the above-mentioned sequences. MR imaging could be moved forward on clinical grounds. DSA was performed when MR imaging suggested complete obliteration. Alternatively, when no complete obliteration was observed on MR imaging at 4 years after radiosurgery, DSA was performed to assess the need for salvage treatment. Angiographic obliteration of the bAVM was defined as the complete absence of abnormal vessels in the former nidus of the malformation, with disappearance or normalization of early draining veins from the area and a normal circulation time on angiography.28,29 ### Patient Selection Included in this study were patients who were radiosurgically treated for a bAVM, in whom the bAVM was reported visible in the radiologic reports of MR imaging and DSA images obtained shortly before radiosurgery (MR imaging1 and DSA1), and in whom final follow-up MR imaging and DSA studies (MR imaging2 and DSA2) were performed. bAVMs that were not visible on MR imaging1 were excluded from further analysis. From a cohort of 251 patients, these criteria led to the inclusion of 120 patients. All imaging series were independently reviewed by 2 experienced neuroradiologists on the local PACS system. DSA1 images were reviewed for visibility of the nidus, size, drainage pattern, and eloquence of the bAVM. From these data, the Spetzler-Martin gradation was derived.30 Follow-up MR images were examined for patency of the bAVM. bAVM obliteration on MR imaging was assessed by using a 3-point scale: patent, PO, and DO. DSA2 images were reviewed for the presence of partial or complete obliteration. In case of partial obliteration, the maximum diameter of the remaining nidus was measured. Each series of examinations was reviewed for each patient in a strict sequence simulating normal clinical practice: MR imaging1, DSA1; MR imaging2, DSA2. To simulate the actual clinical situation, we did not blind our observers to the patient's clinical situation, in contrast to some comparable studies.19,31(#ref-32)(#ref-33)–34 All DSA2 images were re-evaluated for the presence of obliteration in a consensus meeting to create a uniform reference standard (DSA2c). Clinical and treatment parameters noted included sex, clinical presentation, age at time of radiosurgery, marginal dose, volume and location of the bAVM, previous partial or unsuccessful treatment, and length of follow-up. The modified bAVM-score of Pollock and Flickinger35 was derived from these data. ### Statistics Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV for obliteration were determined. “Sensitivity” was defined as the probability of finding obliteration on MR imaging2 among those images demonstrating complete obliteration on DSA2c. “Specificity” was defined as the probability of finding a patent nidus among those whose images demonstrated no obliteration on DSA2c. “NPV” was defined as the percentage of patients among whom the nidus was diagnosed as patent on MR imaging2 and in whom this was confirmed on DSA2c. “PPV” was defined as the percentage of patients among whom the nidus was diagnosed as obliterated on MR imaging2 and in whom this was confirmed on DSA2c. For differentiating a patent from an obliterated bAVM on MR imaging2 in comparison with DSA2c, ROC analysis per observer was performed.36 A univariate regression analysis was performed to assess which factors (Spetzler-Martin grade, drainage pattern, previous embolization, and interval between MR imaging2 and DSA2) correlated with discrepant findings between MR imaging2 and DSA2c. All statistics were performed by using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, Version 17.0 (SPSS, Chicago, Illinois). ## Results One hundred twenty series of images from 120 patients were included in this study (Table 1). There were 56 females and 64 males. Lateralization was right (*n* = 44), midline (*n* = 5), or left (*n* = 71). Mean bAVM volume during radiosurgery was 3.4 mL (95% CI, 2.6–4.3 mL), with a mean marginal dose administered to the 80% isodose line of 1917 cGy (95% CI, 1878–1956 cGy). Mean age at radiosurgery was 37.5 years (95% CI, 35.9–39.0 years). Sixty-six patients (55%) had undergone previous endovascular embolization. Spetzler-Martin grades were 1 (*n* = 20), 2 (*n* = 39), 3 (*n* = 48), or 4 (*n* = 13). The mean modified bAVM score was 1.15 (95% CI, 1.1–1.2). View this table: [Table 1:](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/T1) Table 1: Presentation and location of 120 bAVMs All DSA1 investigations were made on the day of radiosurgery. The mean interval between MR imaging1 and radiosurgery was −4.5 days (range, −211–7 days; median, −1 day). The mean intervals between radiosurgery and MR imaging2 and radiosurgery and DSA2, respectively, were 35.6 months (95% CI, 32.3–38.9 months) and 42.1 months (95% CI, 40.3–44.0 months). The interval between MR imaging2 and DSA2 was ≤3 months (*n* = 48, 40%), between 3 and 6 months (*n* = 39, 32.5%), or >6 months (*n* = 33, 27.5%). No DSA- or MR imaging−related complications occurred. Each series of images (*n* = 120) was reviewed by both observers (240 patient series). Both observers could not determine nidus patency in 2 separate patients each and agreed on nondetermination of nidus patency in 1 more patient. Therefore, 6 patient series based on 5 patients were discarded from further analysis. Statistical analysis was based on the reviews of DSA1, MR imaging2, and DSA2 in 234 patient series (117 patients each, Table 2). View this table: [Table 2:](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/T2) Table 2: bAVM qualities, as determined on DSA1 Definitive obliteration was determined on MR imaging2 by observers 1 and 2 in 46% and 38%, respectively (Table 3). View this table: [Table 3:](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/T3) Table 3: Determination of nidus obliteration on MRI2 PPV and NPV of MR imaging2 for definitive obliteration varied between 0.85 and 0.95 and 0.55 and 0.62 (Table 4). View this table: [Table 4:](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/T4) Table 4: Predictive value of MRI2 for definitive obliteration in comparison with DSA2C Among the 98 observations of definitive obliteration on MR imaging2, 8 observations in 6 patients still demonstrated a patent nidus on DSA2C for a false-positive rate of 0.08 (Fig 1*A*). In 7 of these 8 observations, the remaining nidus was estimated to be <10 mm (Table 5). In the other 90 observations, complete obliteration was confirmed angiographically (Fig 1*B*). ![Fig 1.](http://www.ajnr.org/https://www.highwirestage.com/content/ajnr/33/2/232/F1.medium.gif) [Fig 1.](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/F1) Fig 1. *1*, Overestimation of nidus obliteration: a 0.90-mL tectal bAVM, which is clearly visible on MR imaging1 (*A* and *C white arrows*). *A−F*, Both observers determined this bAVM to be obliterated on MR imaging2 (*B* and *D*) almost 3 years later. However DSA2, performed 6 weeks after MR imaging2, still demonstrates a small nidus (*E* and *F*, *white arrows*) with early venous drainage toward the lateral sinus (*F*, *white arrowheads*). *2*, Successful determination of nidus obliteration in the case of a 3.68-mL-deep temporal bAVM (*straight white arrow*, *A−C*). On the basis of MR imaging2, both observers agreed that the nidus was obliterated 25 months after radiosurgery (*D*). Obliteration was angiographically confirmed 6 weeks later (*E* and *F*). *3*, Underestimation of nidus obliteration: a small 0.17-mL central bAVM that was previously partially treated by endovascular embolization (*A*, *C*, and *E*). Because of hyperintensity on MR imaging2 (*B*, *white vertical arrow*), both observers judged this bAVM to be patent 1 year after radiosurgery (*B* and *D*). However DSA2 (*F*), performed 2 months after MR imaging2, demonstrates absence of the previously present early venous drainage (*E*, *white arrowhead*). *4*, Successful determination of a remaining nidus in case of a patent 2.32-mL tectal bAVM (*white horizontal arrow*, *A* and *B*). On the basis of MR imaging2, both observers agreed that the nidus was patent 4 years after radiosurgery (*C* and *D*). The presence of a remnant nidus was angiographically confirmed 6 weeks later, when early venous drainage toward the straight sinus was observed (*white arrowhead*, *E*). View this table: [Table 5:](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/T5) Table 5: Over- and underestimation of nidus obliteration on MRI2 Conversely, among the 136 observations of partial obliteration or a patent nidus on MR imaging2, 65 demonstrated complete obliteration on DSA2C for a false-negative rate of 0.48 (Fig 1*C*). In the other 71 observations, the presence of a remnant nidus was confirmed angiographically (Fig 1*D*). Among the patients who failed to demonstrate complete obliteration on DSA2C, the mean size of the remaining nidus, as measured on DSA2 was 12 mm (9–16 mm), as assessed by observer 1 (*n* = 39) and 15 mm (10–20 mm) as assessed by observer 2 (*n* = 40). For differentiating a patent from an obliterated bAVM on MR imaging2 in comparison with DSA2c, ROC demonstrated an area under the ROC curve for predicting obliteration varying between 0.81 and 0.83 (Fig 2). ![Fig 2.](http://www.ajnr.org/https://www.highwirestage.com/content/ajnr/33/2/232/F2.medium.gif) [Fig 2.](http://www.ajnr.org/content/33/2/232/F2) Fig 2. ROC demonstrates an area under the ROC curve for predicting obliteration of 0.81–0.83 for each individual observer. In a univariate regression analysis, bAVM volume, Spetzler-Martin grade, drainage pattern, previous embolization, and interval between MR imaging2 and DSA2 were not found to be significant factors for determination of obliteration on MR imaging2. ## Discussion Previous studies showed a decrease of 54% in overall risk of hemorrhage after radiosurgery before obliteration and a further decrease of 88% after obliteration.2 Moreover, others proposed that especially small niduses bleed.37 Therefore, the end point in radiosurgery of bAVMs should be complete obliteration of the nidus. Due to its high spatial and temporal resolution, DSA is the reference technique for judging obliteration.28,29,38 Although the clinical risks of being subjected to DSA remain low,3(#ref-4)(#ref-5)(#ref-6)(#ref-7)–8 this risk increases when multiple consecutive cerebral angiographies are performed, such as in patients with bAVMs. MR imaging has practically no risk.22 In a previous study, we demonstrated that MRA-based images might be used as the sole imaging technique for radiosurgery of bAVMs <3 mL when in a noneloquent location.39 In this study, we aimed to answer the question of whether MRA can be used to predict obliteration reliably and, therefore, whether MRA can replace DSA in the follow-up of bAVMs after radiosurgery. We found an average false-positive rate of 0.08 for 2 observers, which is comparable with that in other studies.40,41 A false-negative rate of 0.48 was found. These findings may have serious consequences. Because partial nidus obliteration does not offer protection,2 overestimation of the true obliteration rate may result in insufficient additional therapy or on an increased population of patients with an intracranial hemorrhage after complete obliteration was falsely diagnosed. On the basis of our data, a small remaining nidus, <10 mm diameter, seems to be the major cause for overestimation of nidus obliteration. Mukherji et al42 demonstrated similar findings with at least 95% sensitivity and 100% specificity for depicting a residual nidus, provided that an arteriovenous shunt and a residual nidus of >1 cm remain. With gradient-echo imaging, the sensitivity did not become <100% until the nidus diameter was <0.36 cm. Without contrast, 1.5T MRA could detect 81%–100% of intracranial vessels with a diameter ≤1 mm in comparison with DSA.43 Because MRA measures blood flow, we postulate that the progressive endothelial proliferation, during the process of (partial) obliteration,44 leads to a reduction in both vessel numbers and diameters, which subsequently diminishes the blood flow below the perceptibility threshold of 1.5T MRA. Because more and smaller cerebral vessels can be found by using a higher field strength,45 this solution may be applicable in diagnosing remaining niduses, because they are in the process of gradual obliteration. Recently, more sophisticated MR imaging techniques were developed that have demonstrated improved depiction of bAVMs in small series, but cutoff points for diagnosing obliteration were not given.18,21,31(#ref-32)–33,46 In a study of nidus delineation on MRA in comparison with DSA, bAVMs delineated on MRA were found to be larger and more randomly displaced.39 We studied bAVMs after radiosurgery and found the opposite. Furthermore, it is of interest to mention that among 14 patients in whom complete obliteration was diagnosed by using MRA, Giesel et al17, using high contrast CTA, were able to demonstrate a residual nidus in 2 and subtotal obliteration in 3 more patients, suggesting that CTA may be an alternative for detecting residual nidus. Conversely, misdiagnosing an obliterated nidus for a patent one means that the patient has the disease for a longer interval and may be subjected to additional and unnecessary therapy. The cause for the poor NPV might be the absence of a regular T1 sequence in our follow-up protocol. T1 sequences have very short TRs, which result in saturation of all static tissues, except for tissues with a very short T1 relaxation time, such as hematoma or coagulated blood. Because 3D TOF-MRA is also a T1-based technique, coagulated or slow-flowing blood might present as hyperintense signal intensity as well. The combination of T1 and 3D TOF-MRA might overcome misinterpreting stagnation of nidal blood flow as persistent flow. The drawback of our follow-up protocol is the inability to make this differentiation. This may have resulted in underestimation of nidus obliteration because some 3D TOF-MRA sequences may demonstrate hyperintensity due to the presence of coagulated blood. Other factors that may have affected the performance of MR imaging could be the relatively long time interval (>6 months in 28% of the population) between MR imaging2 and DSA2. This interval may lead to overestimation of obliteration on MR imaging when the interval is short and the nidus approaches obliteration with a slow intranidal blood flow. Conversely, this interval may lead to underestimation of obliteration on MRA when a clearly visible nidus obliterates completely during a long interval between MR imaging2 and DSA2. Nevertheless, in the present study a univariate regression analysis demonstrated that this factor did not contribute significantly to determining obliteration on MR imaging2. The major limitation by using non-contrast-enhanced 1.5T T2-weighted MR imaging and TOF-MRA images to determine nidus obliteration is a lack of temporal resolution. This might explain a worse outcome in comparison with other studies that report a sensitivity varying between 80% and 100% for detection of residual nidus.40,41,47 With these dynamic contrast-enhanced MRA sequences, the temporal resolution is 1 frame per 1.7 seconds, in comparison with 6 images per second for DSA. However, the signal intensity–to-noise ratio for such dynamic contrast-enhanced MRA sequences is better than that of 3D TOF-MRA. In addition 3D TOF-MRA is known to have spin dephasing due to complex or turbulent flow patterns, as well as signal-intensity saturation in areas of slow flow.48 Due to these shortcomings, isolating venous drainage, depicting slow flow or a small nidus, becomes more difficult.41 These shortcomings become exaggerated in the absence of gadolinium because gadolinium confers a high sensitivity to slow flow due to its T1 shortening effect, with rare saturation effects.49 Recently other studies, using far more sophisticated MR imaging sequences, have been published.19(#ref-20)–21,31,33,34,46,50 Currently, the most promising technique for depicting a residual nidus may be 4D rCE-MRA, in which a combination of several MR imaging techniques, such as radial undersampling, sliding window reconstruction, and sliding mask subtraction, are used, which leads to a sufficiently high temporal and spatial resolution, so that all phases of the intracranial circulation can be separated adequately. Using this MR imaging technique in comparison with DSA, 3 observers were able to correctly identify nidus size and location, arterial feeders, and drainage pattern in 13 patients with bAVMs. The Spetzler-Martin grade was correctly assessed in all except 1.18 However, the spatial resolution of 4D rCE-MRA is on the order of 1 mm18; therefore, even this sophisticated technique may miss a small remnant nidus. ## Conclusions In our institution, we use consecutive MR imaging investigations to determine whether nidus obliteration has occurred. Our findings are somewhat disappointing. Although MRA may be used to follow the process of progressive obliteration, as long as the nidus remains clearly visible, it is an insufficient investigation for diagnosing obliteration in the follow-up of bAVMs after radiosurgery. A remaining nidus diameter of <10 mm seems to be the major limiting factor for reliable assessment of obliteration. Other authors found that bAVMs that are misdiagnosed as obliterated on MR imaging are likely to be either small or drain into a single vein.40,51 Although such a configuration was found in conjunction with an increased obliteration rate or even spontaneous obliteration,52,53 the clinical course of a partially obliterated nidus remains unpredictable, with 23 reported hemorrhages before obliteration among 458 patients who were radiosurgically treated for a bAVM.2 The importance of performing DSA to rule out a persistent nidus after radiosurgery has been stressed before.54 Because reasons for still performing DSA include the limited diagnostic performance of 3D-TOF-MRA, a lower morbidity rate during cerebral angiographic procedures in young patients,3,5,8 and the above-mentioned consequences of misdiagnosing a patent nidus, we agree with this point of view. Because the potential consequences of bleeding from a bAVM and potential morbidity due to cerebral angiography are known but the odds of bleeding due to a persistent nidus remain unknown, and taking into account that newer MR imaging modalities demonstrate an improved depiction of the nidus, a large prospective study in which follow-up by using dynamic contrast-enhanced MRA and DSA versus dynamic contrast-enhanced MRA imaging only are compared, might be appropriate. Meanwhile MRA is an excellent and low-invasive imaging technique to follow the process of progressive obliteration. On the basis of our findings, we did not change our follow-up protocol, though presently we are using contrast-enhanced MRA. We recommend performing MR imaging every 2 years after radiosurgery to demonstrate obliteration of the nidus. On the basis of the aforementioned data, obliteration, as shown on MRA, should be confirmed on DSA. 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